Gray's Algorithm
GRAYS ALGORITHM
B
BAYESIAN
I
INJURY
F
FLOW
F
FRICTION
v0.545.1 · NOV 4
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21+ only. BIFF is a sports analytics tool for information and entertainment. It does not accept wagers, is not affiliated with any sportsbook, league or team, and no pick is a guarantee. Past results do not predict future results.
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GRAYS ALGORITHM
LIVE
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LIVE
Loading today's board…
auto: 5min · idle stops
Edges found
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70%+ picks
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Avg edge
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Avg confidence
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Pick win rate
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Graded picks
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Last 10
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PrizePicks lines
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🟣 PrizePicks record
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DK/FD record
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BIFF's picks
Loading today's board…
Where the edges are
Kelly calculator
21+ only. BIFF is an analytics tool for information and entertainment — not a sportsbook, not betting advice, and no pick is guaranteed. Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER · MA: call or text 1-800-327-5050. Terms & Privacy
Lineup Lab
Prop analyzer · Lineup builder · BIFF Top Picks
⚠ LINES MOVE THROUGH THE DAY — CONFIRM THE LINE IN YOUR APP BEFORE YOU ENTER
📓 I played this — log a slip
Paste a settled slip and BIFF records what you actually played. It never touches BIFF's own record — it builds the ◆ Tuned To You row on this device.
LINEUP LOG
Logged lineups
LegsGame(s)TypePlatformAmtPayoutResult
EDGE LOG · SINGLE BETS
Log a bet
Game
Your pick
Bet amount ($)
Odds
EV % (from BIFF)
Sport
Total bets
0
Win rate
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P&L
$0
Avg EV
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GamePickBetOddsEVResult
Live lines
Sync lines now
Last pull: —
Pulls DraftKings, FanDuel and PrizePicks again. Takes 2–5 minutes on a full slate; you can leave this screen while it runs.
Algorithm
Min EV threshold
Only show alerts above this %
Model probability
Base win probability (0.55 = 55%)
Min confidence threshold
Picks below this score are hidden (default 65) — lower to see more picks
50
★ Elite override threshold
Picks at/above this bypass one-per-category limits (default 75) — lower to stack more picks
75 · ★ ELITE fires here
App password
Change access password for your crew
Bankroll
Pre-fill Kelly calculator
Saved!
FAQ
Why are there no picks right now?

BIFF only serves a pick when its confidence clears its bar (60%, or 62% in the playoffs). On a short slate, or before a sport's lines post, that list can be empty. Lines refresh around 11 a.m., 4:10 p.m. and 7:10 p.m. ET, so check back after the next refresh, or switch sport or day with the filters at the top of Top Picks. The Board and the Analyzer still show every player with a posted line.

When do NBA picks start?

Opening night, Tuesday, Oct 20. Preseason games show up on the Board for reference, but BIFF doesn't pick them: starters sit and minutes are unpredictable, so they aren't fair to grade.

How is BIFF's record kept?

Every pick BIFF serves is logged on its server before the game starts and graded automatically from the official box score. Pushes don't count toward the win rate, and props voided because a player didn't play are listed but not counted. The record is the same for every user, and losses stay on the board.

What happens to teammates when a player is out?

In basketball, BIFF gives the out player's usual points, rebounds, assists and shots to the active teammates who already produce those stats, in proportion to how much of each they produce, and adds it to their projections. Only part of it is passed on, and it's capped. It counts fully on the first night and fades as the team plays more games without them, because recent box scores start to show it on their own. A questionable player counts at half weight. In football it works the same way for receivers and running backs: catches, receiving yards, carries and rushing yards move to the teammates who already get them. If a questionable player's own props are posted, BIFF treats him as playing and moves nothing. Look for the green ⬆ usage note on a pick.

What does the * on a pick mean?

The player left the game early with an injury. The pick still counts in BIFF's official record, win or lose. PrizePicks usually grades these as played; some books void them. The Track Record shows how many picks carry an * and BIFF's 80%+ record with and without them.

How are demons and goblins graded?

When BIFF shows a demon (a higher line) or a goblin (a lower line) on a pick, that alt line is graded on its own number from the same box score and kept as its own record on Home. It never changes the standard pick's result or the official record.

Why doesn't BIFF pick overs on some players?

An over needs the player on the floor. BIFF skips OVER picks on players listed as questionable or game-time, and on players who average under 15 minutes. Unders on those players are still allowed. When a player's minutes jump for three straight games, BIFF trusts the new role over the season average.

Why does a line look different on PrizePicks?

BIFF shows PrizePicks lines first, with DraftKings and FanDuel for reference. Lines move through the day and can differ between apps by half a point or more, so always check the line in the app you play before you enter.

Does my Bet Log affect BIFF's record?

No. Your logged entries track your own results on your device. BIFF's official record only counts the picks BIFF itself served.

How do I install BIFF on my phone?

Account, then Install. On iPhone: Share, then Add to Home Screen. On Android and computers, Chrome or Edge offer a one-tap Install. The installed app opens full-screen from its own icon.

Something's broken. How do I tell you?

Tap Feedback at the top of any screen. Your message, app version and the screen you were on come straight to the BIFF team. Send feedback now.

Is BIFF betting advice? Is it a sportsbook?

Neither. BIFF is a sports analytics tool for information and entertainment. It doesn't take bets or hold money, every pick can lose, and past results don't guarantee future ones. You must be 21 or older. If gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537), or in Massachusetts call or text 1-800-327-5050.

BIFF · GRAYS ALGORITHM GUIDE

If you can use PrizePicks, you can use this. It’s the same picks — same players, same lines, same more/less — BIFF just tells you which side to take and how confident it is. Six screens total, but you really only need two: Top Picks to see the plays, and the Log to track them.

⭐ START HERE — THE 4-STEP LOOP
1
Open Top Picks. The board shows BIFF’s best plays for today, ranked. Green = bet MORE (over), red = bet LESS (under). The gold ones with a ★ ELITE badge are the highest confidence.
2
Tap + ADD on the picks you like. They collect in the gold tray at the bottom of the screen. Pick as many as your entry needs (a PrizePicks 6-pick = add 6).
3
Tap the gold tray → set your amount → log it. That saves your entry so BIFF can track it. Then go place the same picks on PrizePicks.
4
Next morning, BIFF grades them for you. Your W/L record updates automatically in the Log. That’s the whole loop.
⏰ WHEN TO LOOK — READ THIS
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New picks drop 3 times a day: 11:00 AM, 4:10 PM, and 7:10 PM ET. That’s when the board fills in as sportsbooks post lines. Check after those times — especially 4:10 and 7:10 for night games.
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If you look in the morning and the board is thin, it’s not broken — the lines just haven’t posted yet. Come back after 11 AM (day games) or 4:10 PM (night games) and it’ll be full.
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An empty board tells you why: “waiting on live lines” (too early), “lines not posted yet” (late games), or “no picks above threshold” (quiet slate). It’s never a bug — just timing.
🎯 PRIZEPICKS LINES ARE LIVE
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BIFF now shows the actual PrizePicks line as the main number. Every line carries a small gray tag — PP, DK or FD — telling you which board the number came from.
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Underneath you’ll see a small PP · DK · FD row — the PrizePicks line plus what DraftKings and FanDuel say. When they differ, that gap is the edge sharp bettors look for.
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👹 Demon / 👺 Goblin plays: in the Prop Analyzer, BIFF flags PrizePicks’ boosted lines when the projection supports them. A Demon is a harder line with a bigger payout — flagged when BIFF projects the player to clear it anyway. A Goblin is an easier line — flagged as a high-confidence safety leg. These can multiply a good entry.
💡 ONE THING BEFORE YOU BET
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Glance at the PrizePicks line before you lock a pick. BIFF’s numbers come from DraftKings/FanDuel, which are usually identical to PrizePicks but sometimes off by half a point. 99% of the time they match. If PrizePicks shows a different number, just check that BIFF’s read (more/less) still makes sense on the real line — then bet and grade against what you actually played. This becomes automatic in a later update.
SYMBOLS & SIGNALS
⚡
BIFF Lean — the gold bolt sits on the side (MORE or LESS) that BIFF's projection favors for that line. It's the algorithm's pick before you make yours.
◯
Confidence ring — the circled number on every card is BIFF's confidence score. Gold 80+ = elite (card also gets a gold border), teal 70–79 = strong, gray 60–69 = neutral, muted red under 60 = fade territory.
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MORE / LESS — tap to add that side of the prop to your entry. Tapping the other side swaps it; tapping again removes it. Odds shown under each. Add as many legs as your entry needs.
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Gold tray — appears at the bottom whenever you have picks in progress. Follows you around the app; shows leg count + combined EV; tap it to jump to logging.
⚠
GTD = game-time decision (injury note shown) · OUT = ruled out, auto-excluded from the Board · ⚠ GRADE in the Log = a finished entry waiting for you to mark W/L.
?
"Why? tag it" — after a loss, this dropdown asks the cause (blowout/minutes, in-game injury, variance, bad read). Honest tags make BIFF smarter: unavoidable losses don't punish the algorithm, bad reads do.
↻
Re-grade a settled entry · × deletes a single row (asks first) · Calibration panel under the log shows predicted vs actual hit rate by confidence band as results build up.
00 · DASHBOARD
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Sport tabs: NBA / WNBA / MLB / NFL / SOC / TEN — tap to switch the alert feed.
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Alert cards — Tier 1 (gold border) highest EV. Shows player, line, model vs book probability, EV%, and signal type. Calibration signals (TRUST / FADE / WARN) are embedded based on real results from previous games.
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Live mode — Green LIVE badge when connected. Props refresh automatically at 10am, 4pm & 7pm ET (9am, 3pm & 6pm after the November clock change) via Cloudflare Worker. No screenshots needed.
01 · BIFF TOP PICKS
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Sport filter: ALL / NBA / WNBA / MLB / NFL / SOC / TEN
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Prop categories: ALL PROPS · COMBO · POINTS · REBOUNDS · ASSISTS · SPECIALTY. The board shows up to 12 picks (two rows of 6), up to 3 per category, all above your confidence threshold — ranked best first.
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Day filter: ALL DAYS · TODAY · TOMORROW · LATER. Default is TODAY.
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Pick cards — Player, line, projection, confidence %, EV%, reason. Green = Over, Red = Under.
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+ ADD sends a pick to the Lineup Builder. LOG ENTRY loads all filtered picks at once.
02 · PROP ANALYZER
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Sport tabs + Game selector — Tap a sport tab, then choose a game from the dropdown to load both rosters. First time in, you will see a "Select a Sport & Game" splash screen — just tap any sport to start.
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Player cards — Confidence score, projection, EV%, opponent rank, L5/L10/L15/H2H hit rates. ACTIVE · GTD · OUT.
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Calibration notes (orange/red text on cards) — Real signals from recent games. TRUST = player hit this line, ride it. FADE = player missed, avoid. WARN = use caution.
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★ ELITE tab — The green ELITE tab in the sport filter bar shows every prop across ALL sports clearing the Elite threshold. These are the strongest cross-sport plays. Cards show confidence, EV%, calibration, and an Add to Entry button. If nothing appears, lower the Elite threshold in Settings.
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+ ADD TO ENTRY — Sends prop directly to Lineup Builder.
03 · LINEUP BUILDER
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MORE / LESS buttons per card — green MORE for over, red LESS for under; the ⚡ bolt marks BIFF's lean. Tapping one auto-clears the other. Max 6 legs.
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Entry summary — Selected legs with direction and combined EV.
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✅ SUBMIT & LOG BET — Fill amount, platform, notes, then log. CLEAR resets legs.
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OUT players excluded automatically. GTD players shown with injury note.
04 · LINEUP LOG & AUTO-GRADE
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Auto-grade — When a game completes, your entry shows GRADE ↗. Tap to grade W/L/Push.
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P&L tracked in log header. Graded results feed back into the learning system.
05 · SETTINGS — ALGORITHM SLIDERS
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Min Confidence (default 50, range 40–95) — How many picks show on the Top Picks board. Drag left for more picks, right for sharper-only. The number shown is the current value.
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★ Elite Override Threshold (default 75, range 60–99) — Picks scoring at or above this bypass the one-per-category limit and get a green ★ ELITE badge. Lower it to stack multiple props on the same hot player. Also controls what shows in the ELITE tab in Prop Analyzer.
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Hit SAVE SETTINGS after adjusting. Both values persist between sessions.
06 · TRACK RECORD
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The BIFF Track Record card on Home shows the official server ledger — every pick logged before kickoff and graded from box scores, the same record for every user — next to the frozen pre-ledger record from before Sep 23, 2026. Founders also see this device’s own record, which shows BIFF’s real win rate on its own picks — only counting picks actually served to the board and graded from real box scores. The honest scoreboard.
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By tier & by prop type — see where BIFF wins (combo overs vs single points) so you know which picks to trust most.
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REBUILD RECORD button — recomputes your record cleanly from every graded pick. Safe to tap anytime; it can’t double-count.
Account
Your BIFF account, plan and password
v0.545.1 · NOV 4
CURRENT PLAN
BETA
Public Beta
Full access while the beta is free.
At public launch
FREE
$0/mo
• BIFF’s top 3 picks every day
• Confidence, projection and the last 15 games on each one
• BIFF’s full graded record — nothing hidden about how it’s doing
• One sport at a time
PRO
PRO
$19/mo
• The full board — up to 12 picks a day
• Lines the moment they move
• Every sport
• Lineup Builder with real payout math
• Bet Log with payout math
• ◆ Tuned To You — a second row of picks ranked by what YOUR device has been hitting
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Beta
The public beta runs Sunday, Oct 11 through Saturday, Nov 7 (two bonus weeks included), free for everyone. OG enrollment closed Saturday, Oct 31. If you joined by then, you’re an OG, and your details arrive by email near the end of the beta. Follow @biff.props on Instagram, TikTok and Threads, and @BIFFprops on X. You're on the BIFF newsletter & rewards list, so you'll hear first about founding pricing (OG Access), rewards and new sports. Every email has an unsubscribe link; unsubscribing never removes your access.
21+ only. BIFF is an analytics tool for information and entertainment — not a sportsbook and not betting advice. No pick is guaranteed; past results do not predict future results. Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER · MA: call or text 1-800-327-5050. Terms & Privacy
What’s built
DONE Real projections — every number comes from real box scores. No fabricated history anywhere in the app
DONE Auto-grading — picks settle themselves off box scores. BIFF never grades itself off its own projection
DONE PrizePicks lines primary, DK/FD as reference, Demon and Goblin plays on the board
DONE Payout engine — real Flex and Power tiers, and the hit rate each entry actually needs to profit
DONE ◆ Tuned To You — a second row ranked by what your device has been hitting, graded on its own record
DONE One shared board — identical picks on every device, so the record means the same thing for everyone
DONE WNBA + MLB live on the same engine · boxing and NFL previews running
NOW NFL for Week 1 — lines are in, projections build off last season until real games bank
NOW Record moves to the server — so the track record survives a wiped browser and can be checked by anyone, not just trusted
NEXT Accounts and login — built and tested, waiting on the beta opening
NEXT Install to your home screen · subscriptions · NBA when the season tips
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